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The Elusiveness of Systematic Jumps

by Tzuo Hann Law

Abstract

We test for the presence of jumps and measure the price variance of 40 major stocks
and the index they form using intra-day returns. Subsequently, we find that jumps
can be classified into two groups: systematic and idiosyncratic. Idiosyncratic jumps
are firm specific and are usually larger than systematic jumps which affect stocks
collectively. Systematic jumps are virtually non-detectable when jump test statistics
are applied to individual stocks. The elusiveness of systematic jumps is a consequence
of their moderate size and the higher price variance of individual stocks. We also
uncover encouraging evidence for a new jump detection scheme.

Professor Tim Bollerslev, Faculty Advisor
Professor George Tauchen, Faculty Advisor

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