Author: Danielle Arostegui

Inside the Negotiating Process at COP 23 (Part 2)

In my last post, I talked a little bit about the goals of COP 23 and the overall workflow at the climate negotiations. In this post, I talk about what it was like to sit inside the negotiating room for the week one of the Article 6 negotiations.

For those just tuning in, Article 6 of the Paris Agreement acknowledges the use by Parties of cooperative approaches for achieving emissions reductions, and provides for the creation of a mechanism for Parties to transfer mitigation outcomes between themselves for use in their Nationally Determined Contributions.

Inside the Article 6 Negotiations

Witnessing a negotiation is simultaneously fascinating and frustrating. The pace of progress is, at times, frustratingly slow. This is to be expected, given the fact that the UNFCCC negotiations operate on a consensus basis, meaning that all 196 country Parties at the table must come to an agreement on each and every decision made. Getting 196 countries with divergent views and priorities to come to an agreement on a shared vision—or even a shared phrasing of the same vision—can be challenging, to say the least.

Inside the Article 6 negotiating room in week one of COP23.

Process: A Negotiation Inside a Negotiation

Before negotiating the substance of any draft guidance or implementation measure, Parties must first agree on their negotiating process. This too can be fraught with disagreement, as I learned firsthand this week.

Prior to COP23, the working group tasked with drafting guidance for the implementation of Article 6 had met several times. However, as of the first day of COP23, this working group had little in the way of tangible progress to show for their efforts. Accordingly, the Co-Chairs of the group began the first session with a suggestion for moving forward: they would generate discussion documents to serve as the basis of work for the next two weeks. The ultimate goal of these documents would be to frame the guidance for the implementation of Article 6.

The Co-Chairs reiterated that these documents would not yet have legal status or be considered negotiating text. They were merely a place to gather the positions of the Parties on the various issues into a coherent structure. Once this document was found to reflect the views of all Parties, only then would negotiations on the content begin.

Initial debate about this proposed process for discussion was unexpectedly heated. Some countries feared that the Co-Chairs would use this document to try to smooth out the differences in country’s positions instead of accurately capturing this divergence. Saudi Arabia, in particular, insisted that showcasing divergence was absolutely necessary before negotiation towards convergence could take place.

It bears pointing out that, at this point, the proposed draft documents had not been written yet, and they had already generated controversy. Nevertheless, the majority of Parties felt it would be helpful to have text on the page to work from and it was agreed to move forward with the Co-Chairs’ proposal.

This ship, built in Fiji, sat in the halls of the negotiating zone as a reminder that we are all in the same boat.

Structure: Headings, Preambles & Sub-Elements

Over the next couple of days, the Parties received these draft documents—one for each of the three key paragraphs of Article 6 being negotiated—and spent hours discussing the missing elements of the texts. Several hours were devoted to a discussion of the proper headings to be used to structure the documents.

A major point of divergence on the headings emerged between countries that wanted to start the document with a heading entitled “Principles,” and those that preferred that any reference to principles be relegated to a preamble, where it would have less weight. Other countries disagreed over the ordering of certain headings, whether some headings should be merged or separated, or whether elements captured under other headings should be elevated to full headings in their own right.

As the discussion unfolded, it was easy to get immersed in the dialogue and the logic of each proposal being made, and to forget that the Parties were still just talking about the document’s headings and structure. It took the greater part of week one for the group to get through all three documents and add all of the headings, elements, and sub-elements that they felt were missing from the original draft.

Appreciation for the Process

As I watched this process unfold over the course of the week that I was in Bonn, I was struck by how slow the process felt, but also by how necessary it was to take that time.

Arguments about process and about headings may seem trivial, but they are the foundation upon which the ultimate negotiations are built. Taking the time to get all of the countries on board with the process was necessary to build the trust required to move forward on discussions of the substance. Taking the time to allow each country to express its preferences on headings and to insert its positions into the text allowed the Parties to co-create a text that could serve as an even playing ground when the negotiations begin in earnest.

Being an observer in the Article 6 negotiating room in Bonn gave me both a more realistic perspective on how difficult these negotiations can be, and an expanded appreciation of the incredible achievement that is the Paris Agreement.

Inside the Negotiating Process at COP 23 (Part 1)

How Do the Climate Negotiations Really Work?

That was my question this past Monday as I picked up my badge at the registration desk for COP 23.

Media coverage of the climate negotiations tends to focus on the outcomes or on the surrounding politics. Less coverage is given to the underlying process of coming to consensus. This is especially true for a so-called “small COP,” like the one taking place this year, where no new high-level agreement is expected.

Recognizing that others watching from afar might have the same questions I had, I want to try to offer a window into what is happening on a daily basis here at COP 23 as I’ve seen it. In this post, I’ll talk about what’s at stake in COP 23 and how it’s decided. In my next post, I’ll talk about my experience with being in the Article 6 negotiating room. Of course, no description of the process can substitute for actually sitting in a negotiating room, but it’s worth getting a sense of the dynamics at play.

Outside the Fiji Pavilion at COP23

Writing the Rules for Paris

As I mentioned in my last post, the acceptance of the Paris Agreement by many countries hinged on the use of purposefully broad or vague phrasing in parts. After adopting the Paris Agreement in 2015, Parties went right to work on developing the additional methods, modalities, and standards required to operationalize many of the Agreement’s broad goals and provisions. To a large extent, these rules and procedures will determine how successful the Paris Agreement ultimately becomes.

Given their immense importance to the implementation of the Paris Agreement, the details of the Paris rulebook are hotly negotiated in their own right. This is the work negotiators are tasked with here in Bonn.

Providing Guidance: The Role of Subsidiary Bodies

Developing the Paris rulebook is the primary task of the Ad Hoc Working Group on the Paris Agreement (APA), which provides guidance and draft text to the Parties for adoption. The negotiating agenda in Bonn contains work plans for a number of provisions spanning transparency, accounting, finance, and adaptation. Many of these items are negotiated directly through working groups of the APA, while others are referred to other technical or policy advisory bodies within the UNFCCC framework.

I spent this past week following the discussion of Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, which had previously been referred to the Subsidiary Body on Scientific and Technical Advice (SBSTA). As the name suggests, the SBSTA exists to provide guidance to the Parties on technical and scientific matters.

Any potential emissions trading mechanism generated under Article 6 will likely require detailed technical and scientific guidance on such matters as how to set emissions baselines, how to account for trades between Parties, and how to avoid double counting emissions reductions gained through trading. The SBSTA working group on Article 6 was tasked with providing guidance on the means of implementing three of the key paragraphs of the Article. Most days this week, the working group met twice a day: often for two hours in the morning and another two hours in the afternoon.

So Many Issues, So Little Time

Parallel working groups on finance, women and gender, adaptation, loss and damage, transparency, and various other agenda items are also meeting this week. Often, there are many working groups meeting simultaneously, forcing countries with small national delegations to choose their battles or band together with like-minded countries that can represent their interests across the many issue areas. For this reason, many negotiators specialize in a particular Article or subset of issue areas and will work only on those one or two issues for the full two weeks of negotiations.

For some of these working groups, this week’s goals are to produce a negotiated text or decision that can be adopted by the COP. Other groups may have more modest goals to open a dialogue, gain a better understanding of all the Parties’ positions, or simply agree on the shape or goal of a work plan going forward.

Unfortunately, I won’t personally be present next week to see if the Article 6 working group achieves the goals it set out for itself at the beginning of COP. Nevertheless, there are interesting insights to be gleaned from events of this past week, and I look forward to sharing more about what it was like to witness a negotiation firsthand on my next post.

Expectations en route to COP 23

I began writing this from the first of three airplanes that would eventually take me to Bonn, Germany, the site of this year’s international climate negotiations. Beginning on Monday, thousands of diplomats, lawyers, scientists, and policy analysts from around the world will descend on this tiny town on the Rhine to negotiate the details of the sweeping climate agreement adopted in Paris on 2015.

The Paris Climate Agreement, which entered into force last year, was a landmark moment in international climate cooperation. It marked the first occasion on which the international community agreed to a framework of universal action on climate change. For the first time, both developed and developing countries were required to submit self-determined pledges on their intended contributions to the international effort. These are to be reviewed every five years, with the aim of enhancing ambition in pledged action over time.

After decades of disagreement on how efforts should be distributed amongst countries, this system of universal pledge and review was considered by many to be a breakthrough. Nevertheless, many details of the Agreement’s implementation still need to be worked out. This year’s Conference of the Parties (COP) is intended to do just that.

World Conference Center Bonn. Source: UNFCCC

Paris was what some observers refer to as a “big COP:” groundbreaking deals were made, sweeping goals were set, and the world watched as the nation’s Heads of State agreed to redouble effort to tackle one of the world’s most pressing problems. Bonn, in contrast, is what is known as a “small COP.” In Bonn, negotiators will focus on fleshing out the “rulebook” for implementing the provisions of the Paris Agreement. Where the outcomes of Paris were exciting and transformative, the outcomes of Bonn will be technical and procedural. In Paris, COP 21 promised a new platform for global action. In Bonn, COP 23 will try to hammer out the details. Topics on the table for negotiation in Bonn include provisions related to transparency, emissions accounting, climate finance, and emissions trading.

I will personally be closely following the discussion of Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, which provided for the creation of a system of internationally transferred mitigation outcomes or ITMOs. Not sure what that means? That may be by design—certain Parties to the Paris Agreement opposed including language in the Agreement that specifically referenced market mechanisms for achieving emissions reductions. ITMOs were proposed as an acceptably vague alternative that conveyed the concept of carbon markets without the controversy associated with many market-based terms. Now, negotiators at COP 23 are tasked with figuring out how translate a provision that was intentionally designed to be ambiguous into concrete policy and procedure.

I’m looking forward to following along as the conversation evolves over the coming week in Bonn, Germany. I’ll be reporting back on what I learn as the week unfolds, so stay tuned.

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