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Vol. XXVIII, Spring 2016

The Duke Journal of Economics is published each year to showcase outstanding research in economics by Duke Graduate and Undergraduate students.

We congratulate the authors of the research presented in this issue.

Charles Becker & Ed Tower, Faculty Advisors to the Journal
Dongkeun Lee, Associate Editor



Undergraduate Articles

Variations in Turkey’s Female Labor Market: The Puzzling Role of Education by Rachel Anderson

The Pen or the Sword: Determining the Effects of Different Types of Coups D’état on Income Inequality by Wei Jie Chia

Modeling Variation in U.S. Bank Holding Companies’ Net Interest Margins by Daniel Dorchuck

Tying the Knot: Links Between the Labor and Marriage Markets by Elizabeth Di Giulio, Shafiq Haris, Alexander Prezioso, Michael Temple, Logan Turner, Joseph Ueland and Kevin Zipf

Bidding for Parking: The Impact of University Affiliation on Predicting Bid Values in Dutch Auctions of On-Campus Parking Permits by Grant Kelly

Increased Foreign Revenue Shares in the United States Film Industry: 2000 – 2014 by Victoria Lim

An Economic Approach to Evaluating the Impact of AML/CFT Regulations by Caitlin McGough

Determining NBA Free Agent Salary from Player Performance by Josh Rosen

Graduate Articles

Procrastination by Yuxuan He

The Market for Egg Donation by Stephanie A. Karol

Differential Rate of Return of the Emerging Market Economies by Bineet Mishra

Queen Bees and Domestic Violence: Patrilocal Marriage in Tajikistan by Mavzuna Turaeva

Vol. XXVII, Spring 2015

In the academic year 2014-15 Duke students have published book reviews in the collection of the Asia-Pacific Research and Training network of Trade (ARTNeT) and  United Nations, Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific  (http://artnet.unescap.org/publications.html#fourth). Their reviews have benefited from the wise editing and rapid posting of Dr. Mia Mikic, ARTNeT Coordinator, and her team:

  • Dohun Kim. Prevention and Crisis Management: Lessons for Asia from the 2008 Crisis, by Steven Rosefielde, Masaaki Kuboniwa, and Satoshi Mizobata. World Scientific. 2013.
  • Michelle Laniohan. The Son Also Rises: Surnames and the History of Social Mobility, by Gregory Clark. Princeton University Press. 2014.
  • Clement  Lee. What Have We Learned: Macroeconomic Policy After the Crisis, edited by George A. Akerlof, Oliver J. Blanchard, David Romer, and Joseph E. Stiglitz. MIT Press. 2014.
  • Rita Lo. The Role of Elites in Economic Development, edited by Alice H. Amsden, Alisa  DiCaprio, and James A. Robinson. Oxford University Press. 2012.
  • Saad Usmani and Mahmehr Hamza. GDP: A Brief but Affectionate History, by Diane Coyle. Princeton University Press. 2014.
  • Yifan (Victor) Ye. The Great Rebalancing: Trade, Conflict and the Perilous Road Ahead for the World Economy, by Michael Pettis. Princeton University Press. 2013.
  • May (Zhimeng) Li reviewed Asian Economic Systems, by Steven Rosefielde, World Scientific. 2013, in the Southeast Asian Journal of Economics, December 1014. http://www.econ.chula.ac.th/public/publication/journal/2014/May%20Li.PDF
  • Nikolaus Axmann published a revision of his Duke honors thesis: “What is the Effect of Regulatory Supervision on the Profitability and Outreach of Microfinance Institutions?” in the Southeast Asian Journal of Economics, June 2015. http://www.econ.chula.ac.th/research/ccje/browse?year=2015.

Charles Becker & Ed Tower, Faculty Advisors to the Journal
Dongkeun Lee, Associate Editor

Undergraduate Articles

An Economic Analysis of Marijuana Legalization in Florida by Taliya I. Golzar

Medicare’s Prospective Payment System: Do Differences in the Reimbursement Rate Affect Quantity of Care Delivered and Hospital Billing Practices? by Russell Hollis

Understanding Shifts in Population Health-Seeking Behavior Created by Financial Incentive Reform Initiatives: The Impact of India’s Janani Suraksha Yojana Conditional Cash Transfer Program by Ritika Jain

How Does Being a Serial Creator Affect Probability of Campaign Success on Kickstarter? by Minn Htet Khine

Word-of-Mouth Effects in the Holdings and Trading Activities Among Canadian Mutual Fund Managers by Chang Liu

Environmental Impact of Sunbelt Growth: Investigating Trends in Household Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Haisi Liu

The Implications of Population Aging for Economic Growth: A Regional Comparative Study by Paige Muggeridge

Dealing with Data: An Empirical Analysis of Bayesian Extensions to the Black-Litterman Model by Daniel Eller Roeder

Google Search Volume Index: Predicting Returns, Volatility and Trading Volume of Tech Stocks by Xu Rui

The New Landscape of the NBA: The 2011 Collective Bargaining Agreement’s Impact on Competitive Balance and Players’ Salaries by Nicholas Yam

The Effect of Minority History on Racial Disparities in the Mortgage Market: A Case Study of Durham and New Haven by Jisoo Yoon

Multiples Valuation and Abnormal Returns by Joon Sang Yoon

Improving Matching Between Interest Rates and Borrower Riskiness in Microfinance Loans Using Sampling Methods by Jack Willoughby

Security without Equity? The Effect of Secure Communities on Racial Profiling by Police by Jack Willoughby

Vol. XXVI, Spring 2014

The Duke Journal of Economics is published each year to showcase outstanding research in economics by Duke Graduate and Undergraduate students. Additional pieces will appear after their authors revise them.

We congratulate the authors of the research presented in this issue.

Charles Becker & Ed Tower, Faculty Advisors to the Journal
Dongkeun Lee, Associate Editor

Undergraduate Articles

Optimal Lineups in Penalty Kick Shootouts: An Empirical and Theoretical Investigation by Christian Britto and Lucas Hubbard

Understanding SME Finance: Determinants of Relationship Lending by (Sean) Suk Hyun Choi

Implications of Teacher Tenure on Teacher Quality and Student Performance in North Carolina by Dana Fenster

The Determination of Newspaper Slant in Small Markets by Jordyn Gracey

Market Dynamics and the Forward Premium Anomaly: A Model of Interacting Agents by Phillips Hogan and Evan Myer

The Effect of Mexico’s Conditional Cash Transfer System on Migration Decisions by Aki Ishikawa

Corporate Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction in the North American Construction Industry by William (Gang) Li

The Impact of Micro-Banking on Health: Evidence from Self-Help Group Involvement and Child Nutrition by Madeline McKelway

Martin Bronfenbrenner: An Economist in the American Occupation of Japan by Michael Robert Potts

The Impact of Suburbanization on Poverty Concentration: Using Transportation Networks to Predict the Spatial Distribution of
Poverty by Winston Riddick

The Relationship between and Geographic Distribution of Breast Cancer Statistics: Diagnosis, Survival, and Mortality in
Selected Areas in the United States,1973-2004 by Timothy Rooney

Undergraduate Education and the Gender Wage Gap: An Analysis of the Effects of College Experience and Gender on Income by Kelsey Siman

Has Tort Reform Been Effective in Abating the Medical Malpractice Crisis? An Empirical Analysis from 1991-2012 by Raj Singh and Jiten Solanki

The Impact of State and Local Government Spending on Charitable Giving in the United States by Lynn Vandendriessche

Attendance, Home Advantage, and the Effect of a City on its Professional Sports Teams by Jack Willoughby

Video Game Sales: Does Diversity Pay? by Helena Wu

Graduate Articles

The Formation of Small Cities: Adopting a Model to Include Preference Endogeneity and Population Mobility by Xue Li

Monte-Carlo Simulations of GARCH, GJR-GARCH and Constatnt Volatility on NASDAQ-500 and the 10-Year Treasury by Dongkeun Lee and David Liu

Interbank Lending Rates and Monetary Policy in China by Johannes Maus

Vol. XXV, Spring 2013

The Duke Journal of Economics is published each year to showcase outstanding research in economics by Duke Graduate and Undergraduate students.

We congratulate the authors of the research presented in this issue.

Charles Becker & Ed Tower, Faculty Advisors to the Journal

Undergraduate Articles

Research Expenditures in Higher Education Institutions and University Technology Transfer Licensing by Trent Tsun-Kang Chiang

Manufactured Housing Securitization by Renan Cunha

Fiscal Multicointegration and Sustainability in OECD Economies by
 Rajlakshmi De

Foreign Aid Allocation and Impact: A Sub-National Analysis of Malawi by Rajlakshmi De

Is the Blind Side Tackle Worth It?: An Analysis of the Salary Allocation of the NFL Offensive Line by Kelly Ann Froelich

Geo-Spatial Modeling of Online Ad Distributions by Mitchel Drake Gorecki

The Impact of Population Mobility on Repayment Rates in Microfinance Institutions by Johan Hörnell and Allison Vernerey

Profits and Poverty: The Impact of Profit Status on the Microfinance Industry by Kevin Hogan

Price Discrimination and Bargaining Power in the Global Vaccine Market by Linda Li

Enhanced versus Traditional Indexation for International Mutual Funds:
 Evaluating DFA, WisdomTree and RAFI PowerShares
 by Heehyun Lim

Government Allocation of Import Quota Slots to US Films in China’s Cinematic Movie Market by Sabrina McCutchan

Race and Pollution Correlation as Predictor of Enviornmental Justice by Marissa B. Meir

Incentives and Characteristics that Explain Generic Prescribing Practices by Rahul K Nayak

Debunking the Cost-Shifting Myth: an Analysis of Dynamic Price Discrimination in California Hospitals by Omar M. Nazzal

Variance Risk Premium Dynamics: The Impact of Asset Price Jumps on Variance Risk Premia by Jackson R. Pfeiffer

Tax Evasion and Tax Morale in Latin America by Sofía Becerra Taschetti

Trauma Center Efficacy: Certification Status and its Effect on Traffic Fatalities at Varying Radii by Robert Van Dusen

Graduate Articles

The Dictator’s Dilemma: The Role of Social Media in Revolutions by William B. Snyderwine

Finding the Optimal Tax with Pollution Haven Effects by Alecia Waite

The Role of Subjective Rice Price Expectations in Labor Input Decisions: Evidence from Madagascar by Laura Paul

Efficiency and Herd Behavior in a Signalling Market by Jeffrey Gao

Prospect Theory and Marriage Decisions by Anastasia Bogdanova

Twin Deficits Revisited by Jeremy Spater

Vol. XXIV, Spring 2012

The Duke Journal of Economics is published each year to showcase outstanding research in economics by Duke undergraduates. Additional pieces will appear after their authors revise them.

We congratulate the authors of the research presented in this issue.

Charles Becker & Ed Tower, Faculty Advisors to the Journal

Articles

Martin Bronfenbrenner and Japan’s Post-WWII Economic Recovery by Nitish Basandra and Shreyas Srinivas

Job Choices, Flexibility and Maternal Labor Force Participation by Samantha Cox

Volatility and Correlation Modeling for Sector Allocation in International Equity Markets by Melanie Fan and Kate Yuan

Relative Contribution of Common Jumps in Realized Correlation by Kyu Won Choi

The Effects of Digital Media on Advertising Markets by Bradford Lightcap and William Peek

Effects of Medicaid Coverage of Preventative and Diagnostic Care on Potentially Avoidable Hospitalizations by Zachary Kazzaz

Optimal Ordering in Sequential English Auctions by Amaan Mitha

Effects of Wages of Government Officials on Corruption in Developing Countries by Vansh Muttreja

The Effects of Prevention and Treatment Interventions in a Microeconomic Model of HIV Transmission by Allison Stashko

Empirical Evidence of Airline Merger Waves Based on A Selective Entry Model by Peichun Wang

Simultaneous Occurrence of Price Jumps and Changes in Diffusive Price Volatility by Shuting Wei

Integrating Medicare and Medicaid Healthcare Delivery and Reimbursement Policies for Dual Eligible Beneficiaries: A Cost-
Efficiency Analysis of Managed Care by Kan Zhang

The Impact of Spectrum Quality on Wireless Telecom Competition by Stephen Zhu