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Vol. XXVI, Spring 2014

The Duke Journal of Economics is published each year to showcase outstanding research in economics by Duke Graduate and Undergraduate students. Additional pieces will appear after their authors revise them.

We congratulate the authors of the research presented in this issue.

Charles Becker & Ed Tower, Faculty Advisors to the Journal
Dongkeun Lee, Associate Editor

Undergraduate Articles

Optimal Lineups in Penalty Kick Shootouts: An Empirical and Theoretical Investigation by Christian Britto and Lucas Hubbard

Understanding SME Finance: Determinants of Relationship Lending by (Sean) Suk Hyun Choi

Implications of Teacher Tenure on Teacher Quality and Student Performance in North Carolina by Dana Fenster

The Determination of Newspaper Slant in Small Markets by Jordyn Gracey

Market Dynamics and the Forward Premium Anomaly: A Model of Interacting Agents by Phillips Hogan and Evan Myer

The Effect of Mexico’s Conditional Cash Transfer System on Migration Decisions by Aki Ishikawa

Corporate Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction in the North American Construction Industry by William (Gang) Li

The Impact of Micro-Banking on Health: Evidence from Self-Help Group Involvement and Child Nutrition by Madeline McKelway

Martin Bronfenbrenner: An Economist in the American Occupation of Japan by Michael Robert Potts

The Impact of Suburbanization on Poverty Concentration: Using Transportation Networks to Predict the Spatial Distribution of
Poverty by Winston Riddick

The Relationship between and Geographic Distribution of Breast Cancer Statistics: Diagnosis, Survival, and Mortality in
Selected Areas in the United States,1973-2004 by Timothy Rooney

Undergraduate Education and the Gender Wage Gap: An Analysis of the Effects of College Experience and Gender on Income by Kelsey Siman

Has Tort Reform Been Effective in Abating the Medical Malpractice Crisis? An Empirical Analysis from 1991-2012 by Raj Singh and Jiten Solanki

The Impact of State and Local Government Spending on Charitable Giving in the United States by Lynn Vandendriessche

Attendance, Home Advantage, and the Effect of a City on its Professional Sports Teams by Jack Willoughby

Video Game Sales: Does Diversity Pay? by Helena Wu

Graduate Articles

The Formation of Small Cities: Adopting a Model to Include Preference Endogeneity and Population Mobility by Xue Li

Monte-Carlo Simulations of GARCH, GJR-GARCH and Constatnt Volatility on NASDAQ-500 and the 10-Year Treasury by Dongkeun Lee and David Liu

Interbank Lending Rates and Monetary Policy in China by Johannes Maus

Vol. XXV, Spring 2013

The Duke Journal of Economics is published each year to showcase outstanding research in economics by Duke Graduate and Undergraduate students.

We congratulate the authors of the research presented in this issue.

Charles Becker & Ed Tower, Faculty Advisors to the Journal

Undergraduate Articles

Research Expenditures in Higher Education Institutions and University Technology Transfer Licensing by Trent Tsun-Kang Chiang

Manufactured Housing Securitization by Renan Cunha

Fiscal Multicointegration and Sustainability in OECD Economies by
 Rajlakshmi De

Foreign Aid Allocation and Impact: A Sub-National Analysis of Malawi by Rajlakshmi De

Is the Blind Side Tackle Worth It?: An Analysis of the Salary Allocation of the NFL Offensive Line by Kelly Ann Froelich

Geo-Spatial Modeling of Online Ad Distributions by Mitchel Drake Gorecki

The Impact of Population Mobility on Repayment Rates in Microfinance Institutions by Johan Hörnell and Allison Vernerey

Profits and Poverty: The Impact of Profit Status on the Microfinance Industry by Kevin Hogan

Price Discrimination and Bargaining Power in the Global Vaccine Market by Linda Li

Enhanced versus Traditional Indexation for International Mutual Funds:
 Evaluating DFA, WisdomTree and RAFI PowerShares
 by Heehyun Lim

Government Allocation of Import Quota Slots to US Films in China’s Cinematic Movie Market by Sabrina McCutchan

Race and Pollution Correlation as Predictor of Enviornmental Justice by Marissa B. Meir

Incentives and Characteristics that Explain Generic Prescribing Practices by Rahul K Nayak

Debunking the Cost-Shifting Myth: an Analysis of Dynamic Price Discrimination in California Hospitals by Omar M. Nazzal

Variance Risk Premium Dynamics: The Impact of Asset Price Jumps on Variance Risk Premia by Jackson R. Pfeiffer

Tax Evasion and Tax Morale in Latin America by Sofía Becerra Taschetti

Trauma Center Efficacy: Certification Status and its Effect on Traffic Fatalities at Varying Radii by Robert Van Dusen

Graduate Articles

The Dictator’s Dilemma: The Role of Social Media in Revolutions by William B. Snyderwine

Finding the Optimal Tax with Pollution Haven Effects by Alecia Waite

The Role of Subjective Rice Price Expectations in Labor Input Decisions: Evidence from Madagascar by Laura Paul

Efficiency and Herd Behavior in a Signalling Market by Jeffrey Gao

Prospect Theory and Marriage Decisions by Anastasia Bogdanova

Twin Deficits Revisited by Jeremy Spater

Vol. XXIV, Spring 2012

The Duke Journal of Economics is published each year to showcase outstanding research in economics by Duke undergraduates. Additional pieces will appear after their authors revise them.

We congratulate the authors of the research presented in this issue.

Charles Becker & Ed Tower, Faculty Advisors to the Journal

Articles

Martin Bronfenbrenner and Japan’s Post-WWII Economic Recovery by Nitish Basandra and Shreyas Srinivas

Job Choices, Flexibility and Maternal Labor Force Participation by Samantha Cox

Volatility and Correlation Modeling for Sector Allocation in International Equity Markets by Melanie Fan and Kate Yuan

Relative Contribution of Common Jumps in Realized Correlation by Kyu Won Choi

The Effects of Digital Media on Advertising Markets by Bradford Lightcap and William Peek

Effects of Medicaid Coverage of Preventative and Diagnostic Care on Potentially Avoidable Hospitalizations by Zachary Kazzaz

Optimal Ordering in Sequential English Auctions by Amaan Mitha

Effects of Wages of Government Officials on Corruption in Developing Countries by Vansh Muttreja

The Effects of Prevention and Treatment Interventions in a Microeconomic Model of HIV Transmission by Allison Stashko

Empirical Evidence of Airline Merger Waves Based on A Selective Entry Model by Peichun Wang

Simultaneous Occurrence of Price Jumps and Changes in Diffusive Price Volatility by Shuting Wei

Integrating Medicare and Medicaid Healthcare Delivery and Reimbursement Policies for Dual Eligible Beneficiaries: A Cost-
Efficiency Analysis of Managed Care by Kan Zhang

The Impact of Spectrum Quality on Wireless Telecom Competition by Stephen Zhu

Symposium Edition 2012

The tenth annual Undergraduate Research Symposium was held in May 2012 in the Social Sciences building. Congratulations and thanks to all the authors, who wrote outstanding papers and gave polished presentations.

Charles Becker & Ed Tower, Faculty Advisors to the Journal

Articles

Unitization of Oil Reserves in Alaska and the Supply Elasticity of a Common Pool Resource by Emily Bailey, Duke University

Cross-Stock Comparisons of the Relative Contribution of Jumps to Total Price Variance by Vivek Bhattacharya, Duke University

Price Partitioning and Consumer Rationality in Internet Retail Markets by Katharine Bodnar, Duke University

Understanding the Value of Amenities: A Study of the Land Value Determination Process in Hangzhou, China by Ching-Ching Chen, Duke University

After the Storm Impacts of Natural Disasters in the United States at the State and County Level by Danjie Fang, Duke University

The Effect of Single-Sex Education on Short and Long Term Extracurricular Participation by Grace Foster, Elon University

Policy in Competitive Insurance Markets: Incentivizing Risk Sharing and Cost Efficiency by Ross Green, Duke University

The Influence Effect of Critic Reviews on Foreign and Domestic Movies by Jayoung Jeon & Luxuan Jiao, Duke University

The Effect of Time Discounting on Flu Vaccinations by Greg McNamara, Davidson College

Foreign Exchange Responses to Macroeconomic Surprises: Playing “Peek-a-Boo” with Financial Markets by Vignesh Nathan, Duke University

Empirical Analysis on the Effects of Jumps on Realized Beta and the Disentanglement of Jump Beta1 by Hao Sun, Duke University

Vol. XXIII, Spring 2011

The Duke Journal of Economics is published each year to showcase outstanding research in economics by Duke undergraduates. Additional pieces will appear after their authors revise them.

We congratulate the authors of the research presented in this issue.

Charles Becker & Ed Tower, Faculty Advisors to the Journal

Articles

Neighborhood Effects and School Performance: The Impact of Public Housing Demolitions on Children in North Carolina by Rebecca Agostino

The Lobby That Cried Wolf: Restrictive Immigration Reform Does Cost
the American Agricultural Industry by Jonathan Amgott

Taming the Dragon: The Modernization of the Chinese Equity Markets and its Effects on IPO Underpricing by William Benesh

Taking Another Look at Multilateral Aid Flows: Reconsidering the Dynamics of the U.S.’s Strategic Use of Development Aid by Jared Goodman

Trailer Park Economics by Caitlin Gorback

The Comprehensive Optimal Business Location Model by Mitchel Gorecki

Time-Varying Beta: The Heterogeneous Autoregressive Beta Model by Kunal Jain

The Marital Wage Premium for Men: What is it today, and what is the cause behind it? by Hans Kist

Decision-Making With Potentially Biased Advisors by Kevin Kupiec

Contagion in Emerging Market Equities by Richard Li

Matching Offer in the Provision of Public Goods by Chengyu Li

The Economic Penalty of Dengue by Yamini Misra

Extending the Possibilities of Kidney Exchange with Compatible Pairs by Karna Mital

The Nurture Effect: Like Father, Like Son. What about for an Adopted Child? by Suanna Oh

Winner-Take-All Economics: Professional Inquiry and Public Discourse on Material Inequality by Johnathan Pryor

Beta Estimation Using High Frequency Data by Angela Minwoo Ryu

Incentives in Professional Tennis: Tournament Theory and Intangible Factors by Steven Seidel and Joshua Silverman

Market Power & Reciprocity Among Vertically Integrated Cable Providers by Jeffrey Shih-Kai Shen

Market Entry, a Vehicle for Innovation? by Maxim Sirenko

Contagion in Emerging Market Equities by Yiwen Zhu