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Leukemia Test

A new drug for leukemia works 25% of the time in patients 55 and older, and 50% of the time
in patients younger than 55. A test group has 17 patients 55 and older and 12 patients younger than 55.

  1. A uniformly random patient is chosen from the test group, and the drug is administered and it is a success. What is the probability the patient was 55 and older?
  2. A subgroup of 4 patients are chosen and the drug is administered to each. What is the probability that the drug works in all of them?

 

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