The Predictability of the Chilean Yield Spread as an Economic Indicator
By Cong Ding A country’s yield spread, defined as the difference between its long term and short term interest rates, has historically been used in developed countries as a proxy for projecting the economy’s future gross domestic product. Because interest rates are so liquid, data on rates are accessible and up to date. This means […]
A Superstar Dreaming: An economic analysis of the Aboriginal Desert Paintings Market
by Karen Francis Abstract Two artists each have total auction sales greater than AU$10 million in a single decade. In that same market and decade, over 20% of painters failed to sell a single painting offered at auction. There is no question that superstars dominate the Aboriginal Desert Paintings Market (ADPM) in Australia. But what […]
Measuring Capital Mobility in China: 1999 – 2005
by Huanjie Wang Abstract This paper examines the level of capital mobility in China during Jan. 1999 to Apr. 2006 by estimating the covered interest rate differentials during this time period. This study was made possible by data from the fairly newly established offshore RMB Nondeliverable Forward market. It concludes that China had not been […]
Analysis of Auction Price Risk: An Empirical Study of the Australian Aboriginal Art Market
by Ilya Voytov Abstract Auction theory economists have shown that auctions can be structured to maximize the expected revenue to the seller. In this thesis, I show that they can also be optimized to minimize the sellers’ risk through an understanding of the driving factors behind seller’s auction price risk. I derive a general form […]
