Do Vanguard ETF Investors Make Good Decisions? – Testing the Bogle Hypothesis
By Meng Xie John Bogle, the founder of Vanguard, is a notable opponent of frequent ETF trading. We test his hypothesis that Vanguard investors are not trading ETFs intelligently. A comparison of dollarweighted and time-weighted returns is the typical method used for assessing investor timing. We instead employ Sharpe’s style analysis techniques to compare the […]
Auctions as an Alternative to Book Building in the IPO Process: An Examination of Underpricing for Large Firms in France
By John Mekjian A relevant factor in determining the quality of an initial public offering (IPO) mechanism is the level and variability of underpricing that occurs. The percentage difference between the IPO price and the closing price after one day of trading is a common way to define the “underpricing” of the stock. Although companies […]
A Further Exploration of Reverse Takeovers as an Alternative to Initial Public Offerings
By Matt LoSardo and Zhunliang Zhu In theory a reverse takeover (RTO) should be a viable alternative to initial public offerings (IPO) for private companies looking to access the public capital markets. Since the IPO process can be very timely and include significant costs, both direct and indirect, we analyze reverse takeovers as an alternative […]
Taming the Dragon: The Modernization of the Chinese Equity Markets and its Effects on IPO Underpricing
By William Benesh The extreme underpricing of Chinese Initial Public Offerings in the early days of the Chinese equity markets was reduced by several reforms instituted by the Chinese government from around 2000 to 2002. These reforms reduced 1-day returns on IPOs from 295% to 72%. The reforms reduced IPO underpricing by decreasing the inequality […]
Beta Estimation Using High Frequency Data
By Angela Ryu Using high frequency stock price data in estimating nancial measures often causes serious distortion. It is due to the existence of the market microstructure noise, the lag of the observed price to the underlying value due to market friction. The adverse eect of the noise can be avoided by choosing an appropriate […]
Book-building versus Auctions: An investigation into which IPO pricing and selling method more effectively promotes the aims of an IPO issuer
by Amrith Krushnakumaar Abstract In recent years, book-building has emerged as a method of choice among investment banks in the U.S and around the world for pricing and selling initial public offerings (IPOs). Proponents of the book-building method argue that discriminatory share allocations, the pooling of IPOs and other standard book-building practices price new shares […]
A Case Study on the Informational Role of Futures Markets: Can Weather Futures Forecast Electricity Consumption?
by Ying Chiat Ho Abstract This paper provides a case study on the informational role of futures prices by investigating the ability of Cooling Degree Day (CDD) futures prices to forecast electricity consumption for New York State. I develop a cross-sectional model relating electricity consumption with the cumulative CDDs in a month for New York […]
The Value of Unsolicited Buy Recommendations to Investors: Can Investors Trade Profitably Based on E-mail Spam?
by Angela Nicole Aldrich Abstract This paper explores the possibility of trading profitably based on information contained in email spam messages advertising certain stock trades. Through careful analysis of a basket of sixteen stocks that were recommended to my advisor and myself via unsolicited email spam, I conclude that the most effective way for investors […]
Could the Kaminsky-Reinhart Model Have Predicted the 2002 Uruguayan Currency and Banking Crises?
by Steven R. Vickers Abstract Because currency and banking crises cause substantial and prolonged disruptions to an economy, economists have long sought ways to predict these events in advance. One recent theory advanced is the “leading indicators” approach of Kaminsky (1998) and Kaminsky and Reinhart (1999). Kaminsky (1998) presents four separate composite indicators, and Kaminsky […]
