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Clinical trial

Let \(X\) be the number of patients in a clinical trial with a successful outcome. Let \(P\) be the probability of success for an individual patient. We assume before the trial begins that \(P\) is unifom on \([0,1]\). Compute

  1. \(f(P \mid X)\)
  2. \( {\mathbf E}( P \mid X)\)
  3. \( {\mathbf Var}( P \mid X)\)

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