Time-Varying Beta: The Heterogeneous Autoregressive Beta Model
By Kunal Jain Conventional models of volatility estimation do not capture the persistence in high-frequency market data and are not able to limit the impact of market micro-structure noise present at very finely sampled intervals. In an attempt to incorporate these two elements, we use the beta-metric as a proxy for equity-specific volatility and use […]
Collusion with Three Bidders at First-Price Auctions
By Andrew Born Lopomo, Marx, & Sun (2009) show that, given a speci fied environment, pro table collusion is not possible for a two-person bidding ring operating at a fi rst-price sealed-bid auction. This research investigates the rigor of their result by expanding the theoretical framework to the case of a three-bidder cartel. The output generated from the […]
Strategic Behavior in Online Auctions: An Analysis of Sniping
by Claudia Lai Abstract Sniping is a prevalent phenomenon in eBay auctions, which have a fixed end time. Such practice seems apparently inconsistent with standard auction theory – last minute bids are received with reduced probability, and should rationally be submitted earlier – yet previous literature has shown that bidders typically do not engage in […]
Multi-Variable Regression Analysis For the Prediction of Equity Returns Over 10 Year Periods
by Arjun Singh Jaswal Abstract The use of 5 variables is examined in order to forecast ex ante the total return from holding equities over 10 year periods. The 5 variables are a moving average of Campbell and Shiller’s P/E ratio, Robert B. Barsky and J. Bradford De Long’s log price predictor, a function of […]
Analysis of Auction Price Risk: An Empirical Study of the Australian Aboriginal Art Market
by Ilya Voytov Abstract Auction theory economists have shown that auctions can be structured to maximize the expected revenue to the seller. In this thesis, I show that they can also be optimized to minimize the sellers’ risk through an understanding of the driving factors behind seller’s auction price risk. I derive a general form […]
