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On the Political Bias of LLMs

by Joshua Daichi Dutton Abstract This paper examines the political alignment of ChatGPT outputs relative to user inputs using 443,843 real-world conversations from WildChat-1M. Text is scored via a bigram method calibrated on 118th Congress speech. OLS and instrumental variables estimates show that model outputs systematically reflect the partisan direction of user prompts while attenuating […]

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Plea Bargaining Beyond Common Law: Evidence from China

by Jince Chen, Abstract This paper provides a causal evaluation of China’s plea-leniency reform, a prosecutor-led negotiated criminal procedure piloted in 18 cities from 2016 to 2018 before its nationwide adoption. In common law systems, plea bargaining is found to generate sentence discounts and efficiency gains; in civil law jurisdictions, where bargaining is more constrained […]

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