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Economic Perception and Cable News: Evidence from Panel Data, 2016–2020

by Audrey S. Wang Abstract This paper employs a panel approach to investigate the role of partisan cable news in shaping economic perceptions using the VOTER Survey dataset (2016–2020) and sentiment-scored transcripts from Fox News, CNN and MSNBC, examining how sentiment and coverage intensity interact with individuals’ viewership patterns to affect macroeconomic assessments. Findings suggest […]

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Bailing on Justice: Plea Bargain Sentencing Outcomes

by Esmé Lise Mailloux Govan Abstract  In 2020, over 630,000 American adults were detained in local jails each day, 74% of whom had not yet been convicted of a crime. These defendants were detained before going to court because they did not make bail. There is a large body of work documenting the negative impacts […]

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The Case for Clemency: Differential Impacts of Pretrial Detention on Case and Crime Outcomes

by George Rateb Abstract About half-million of individuals in US jails are detained pretrial while legally presumed innocent. Using data on quasi-randomly assigned bail judges in the third-largest court system in the U.S., we study the impact of pretrial detention on defendants’ court and crime outcomes between 2008 and 2012. We supplement our primary analysis […]

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Patrolling the Future: Unintended Consequences of Predictive Policing in Chicago

By Jenny Jiao    In the past decade, police departments have increasingly adopted predictive policing programs in an effort to identify where crimes will occur and who will commit them. Yet, there have been few empirical analyses to date examining the efficacy of such initiatives in preventing crime. Using police and court data from the […]

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Undergraduate Program Assistant
Matthew Eggleston
dus_asst@econ.duke.edu

Director of the Honors Program
Michelle P. Connolly
michelle.connolly@duke.edu