Mark-recapture

A common problem in ecology, social networks, and marketing is estimating the population of a particular species or type. The mark-recapture method is a classic approach to estimating the population.

Assume we want to estimate the population of sturgeon in a section of the Hudson river. We use the following procedure:

  1. Capture and mark \(h\) sturgeons
  2. Recapture \(n\) sturgeon and you find that \(y\) of them are marked
  3. The estimated sturgeon population is \(N = \frac{h n}{y} \).

Motivate statement \(3\) using the hypergeometric distribution.

 

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