Home » Basic probability » Drawing without replacement

Category Archives: Drawing without replacement

Boxes with Yellow and Green Balls

Three boxes contain yellow and green balls

  • Box 1 contains 2 yellow balls.
  • Box 2 contains 2 green balls.
  • Box 3 contains 1 yellow ball and 1 green ball.

One box is selected at random, and one ball is pulled out of that box.

  1.  The ball that is pulled out of the chosen box is yellow. What is the probability that the other ball in that same box is also yellow?
  2. Let \(A\) be the event that Box 3 is chosen. Let \(B\) be the event that a yellow ball is pulled out of the chosen box. Are \(A\) and \(B\) independent?
  3.  The ball that is pulled out of the chosen box is yellow. Without replacement, a second ball is chosen at random from one of the three boxes. (Each box has a 1/3 chance of being selected.) What is the probability that the second ball chosen is also yellow?

A strange deck of cards

In a non-standard deck of cards there are

  • 20 blue cards (numbered 1 through 20),
  • 20 green cards (numbered 1 through 20), and

20 red cards (numbered 1 through 20)

Four cards are dealt without replacement from this deck.

  1. What is the probability that exactly two of the four cards dealt are blue?
  2. Given that at least one of the first two cards dealt is blue, what is the probability that exactly three of the four cards dealt are blue?
  3. What is the probability that at least two of the four cards dealt have the same numeric value (1 through 20)?

Which deck is rigged ?

Two decks of cards are sitting on a table. One deck is a standard deck of 52 cards. The other deck (called the rigged deck)  also has 52 cards but has had 4 of the 13 Harts replaced by Diamonds. (Recall that a standard deck has 4 suits: Diamonds, Harts, Spades, and Clubs. normal there are 13 of each suit.)

  1. What is the probability one chooses 4 cards from the rigged deck and gets exactly 2 diamonds and no hearts?
  2. What is the probability one chooses 4 cards from the standard deck and gets exactly 2 diamonds and no hearts?
  3. You randomly chose one of the decks and draw 4 cards. You obtain exactly 2 diamonds and no hearts.
    1. What is the probability you chose the cards from the rigged deck?
    2. What is the probability you chose the cards from the standard deck?
    3. If you had to guess which deck was used, which would you guess? The standard or the rigged ?

Topics