2014年中国公共管理 政治学暑期研究方法培训班
博弈论课程大纲
自然科学研究物体的动态，社会科学研究人的行为，而人与物之间最大的差别，在于人有逻辑思考能力。两个粒子互撞，彼此之间不会斗心眼；但人与人之间互动，往往尔虞我诈，彼此要博弈一番。因此，与天斗、与地斗，不需要学博弈论，但要研究人与人之间的策略互动，一定要学会博弈论。孙子在《孙子兵法》里告诫我们，“多算胜，少算不胜，而况于无算呼？” 博弈论教你如何算。
指定教材
- Dixit and Nalebuff, Thinking Strategically. 中译本：迪克西特 &奈尔巴夫，《策略思维》，北京：中国人民大学出版社，2002。(自行网购)
- 尽可能预习用红字标示的指定教材。
- 在这里下载所有课件的压缩文件，或者分别下载课件如下:
1. Foundation of Individual Choice Theory: Rationality, preferences, utility theory,decision making under certainty, decision making under risk
- Lave & March, An Introduction to Models in Social Sciences, Chapter 4.
- Kenneth J. Arrow, Social Choice and Individual Values, 1951, pp. 1-21.
Application – Calculus of Voting
- Daniel Kselman and Emerson Niou, “Strategic Voting in Plurality Elections,” Political Analysis, 2010.
2. The Basics of Non-Cooperative Games: Normal-Form and Extensive-FormGames and Solution Concepts
- Emerson M.S. Niou and Peter C. Ordeshook. “A Game-Theoretic Analysis of Sun Tzu’s The Art of War,”English version, Journal of Peace Research, 31 (2): 161-174, May,1994. 牛銘實、欧德修，<用博弈论来解读孙子兵法> (中译本)。
- Dixit & Nalebuff, Chapters 1-3, 7
- Niou and Ordeshook, Strategy & Politics – Chapter 1,& Chapter 5, Rutledge, 2014.
Applications – Selective Topics
- Emerson Niou, “Strategic Voting under Plurality and Runoff Rules” （英文版）， “在相对多数和两轮决选制下的策略投票” （中译本）Journalof Theoretical Politics, 13(2):pp.209-227, April 2001.
- Niou and Tan, “External Threat and Collective Action,” Economic Inquiry, 43(3), Jul 2005, pp. 1-12.
3. Variations in Non-Cooperative Games: Sequence, Information, Commitments
- Dixit & Nalebuff, Chapters 5, 6, 8, & 9.
Application – Trade, Economic Sanctions and Peace
- Dean Lacy and Emerson Niou. “A Theory of Economic Sanctions and Issue Linkage.” Journal of Politics, 66(1):25-42, February 2004.
- Brett. Benson and Emerson Niou. “Economic Interdependence and Peace: A Game-Theoretic Analysis,” Journal of East Asian Studies, 7(1):35-59, January – April, 2007
